Attribution: Please use this identifier to share, cite, or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10625/50557
Title: Climate variability and change : perceptions, experiences and realities
Authors: Rao, K P C
Oyoo, A
Keywords: ARID AND SEMI-ARID AREAS
FARMERS
CLIMATE CHANGE VARIABILITY
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
KENYA
CLIMATE CHANGE PUBLIC AWARENESS
CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY
RAINFALL
Date: 2012
Citation: Rao, K. P. C., & Oyoo, A. (2012). Climate variability and change: perceptions, experiences and realities. In Climate exchange (pp.240-242). World Meteorological Organization.
Abstract: Farming in the semi-arid tropics, where climatic conditions are marginal and highly variable, is a risky enterprise. The main source of this risk is the variability in rainfall that occurs at many different timescales, ranging from seasons to years to decades and beyond. Farmers operating under these conditions make decisions based on their perceptions and experiences gained from several years of keen observation and practice in the field. However, perceptions are influenced by many factors, both real and subjective. For agriculture, factors like farm productivity, crop, market and local preferences, capacity to invest, willingness to take risks and soil quality play an important role. While the role and significance of some of these factors on productivity and profitability can be perceived more easily due to their relative predictability, extreme variability in climate and the random nature of that variability makes it difficult for farmers to accurately perceive trends in climate. In the absence of detailed measurements, perceptions can be biased and unreliable. Climate information can play an important role in helping farmers better understand this variability and its associated risks, and enhancing their decision-making for effective risk management.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10625/50557
http://oar.icrisat.org/6210/1/Climate-Exchange_KPCRao%20.pdf
Project Number: 104146
Project Title: Managing Risk, Reducing Vulnerability and Enhancing Productivity under a Changing Climate
Access: IDRC Only
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